Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cristiano
23' Event
Roney
40' Event
Abreu G.

AI Match Summary

CA Metropolitano in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fluminense-SC
15%
Draws
48%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Metropolitano lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense-SC.
  • Win probability leans CA Metropolitano's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CA Metropolitano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 23%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
3:0
Jun 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:3
Jul 6, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 10, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristiano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roney
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 29 / 100
CA Metropolitano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Metropolitano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Fluminense-SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CA Metropolitano let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS CA Metropolitano
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 7

CA Metropolitano

(Away)
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)