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Fluminense-SC vs Figueirense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fluminense-SC
30%
Draws
43%
Figueirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Figueirense come out ahead of Fluminense-SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Figueirense a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Figueirense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Figueirense
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Fluminense-SC
3:2
Sep 16, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Figueirense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 20 / 100
Figueirense 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Figueirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figueirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Fluminense-SC's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Figueirense has conceded goals in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Recent resilience: Fluminense-SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Figueirense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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Figueirense

(Away)
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
0 : 0
Figueirense
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2
Figueirense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 10 9 0 1 26:5 27
2 Figueirense 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
3 Joinville 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
4 Fluminense-SC 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
5 CA Metropolitano 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
6 Blumenau 10 0 3 7 6:28 3
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 10 8 1 1 20:6 25
2 Tubarao 10 5 5 0 13:4 20
3 Marcilio Dias 10 5 3 2 19:6 18
4 Almirante Barroso 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
5 Inter de Lages 10 2 1 7 12:13 7
6 Operario Mafra 10 0 0 10 4:41 0
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)