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Fluminense-SC vs Figueirense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fluminense-SC
33%
Draws
27%
Figueirense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Figueirense come out ahead of Fluminense-SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fluminense-SC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Figueirense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Figueirense
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Fluminense-SC
3:2
Sep 16, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Figueirense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 40 / 100
Figueirense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Figueirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Fluminense-SC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Figueirense has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Recent resilience: Fluminense-SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Figueirense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
28 Jun
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
Fluminense-SC
21 Jun
Fluminense-SC
1 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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Figueirense

(Away)
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0
Volta Redonda
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1
Figueirense
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1
Guarani
20 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Figueirense
14 Jun
Floresta EC
1 : 2
Figueirense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz1090126:527
2Figueirense1062220:1220
3Joinville1044219:1516
4Fluminense-SC1023510:169
5CA Metropolitano1022611:168
6Blumenau100376:283
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1081120:625
2Tubarao1055013:420
3Marcilio Dias1053219:618
4Almirante Barroso1042413:1114
5Inter de Lages1021712:137
6Operario Mafra1000104:410
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)