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Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Giehl N. F.
78' Event
Nathan

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Fluminense-SC
28%
Draws
22%
Guarani de Palhoca
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense-SC lately — more wins on the board than Guarani de Palhoca.
  • Fluminense-SC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Guarani de Palhoca
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
1:1
May 23, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Fluminense-SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Giehl N. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Guarani de Palhoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Nathan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 59 / 100
Guarani de Palhoca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Guarani de Palhoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Guarani de Palhoca let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Fluminense-SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Guarani de Palhoca
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
28 Jun
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
Fluminense-SC
21 Jun
Fluminense-SC
1 : 0
Jaragua-SC
Page 1 of 6

Guarani de Palhoca

(Away)
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
04 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
28 Jun
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Guarani de Palhoca
21 Jun
Guarani de Palhoca
0 : 0
Nacao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz17123233:939
2CA Metropolitano17112433:1835
3Caravaggio1795344:1932
4Blumenau1784532:1528
5Tubarao1765623:1923
6Nacao1756618:2421
7Fluminense-SC1763816:2221
8Guarani de Palhoca1755722:2420
9Gremio Juventus17521016:2317
10Jaragua-SC1701166:701
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)