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Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Samuel K.
49' Event
Madiba K.
90' Event
Italo

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 game between Fluminense U20 and Boavista U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fluminense U20
20%
Draws
29%
Boavista U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense U20 come out ahead of Boavista U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fluminense U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fluminense U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Boavista U20
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 10 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.58 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20
3:0
Mar 10, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Fluminense U20
0:2
Jun 29, 2024 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20
0:1
Mar 11, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madiba K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Boavista U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 85 / 100
Boavista U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Boavista U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boavista U20 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Fluminense U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (43 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Fluminense U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Boavista U20
1 Goals Scored 0.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
15 Aug
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Boavista U20
08 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
01 Jul
Botafogo RJ U20
3 : 2
Fluminense U20
25 Jun
Fluminense U20
0 : 3
Palmeiras U20
20 Jun
Fluminense U20
0 : 0
Athletico-PR U20
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Boavista U20

(Away)
15 Aug
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Boavista U20
08 Aug
Boavista U20
1 : 1
Botafogo RJ U20
04 Apr
Boavista U20
1 : 0
Olaria U20
28 Mar
Botafogo RJ U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
25 Mar
Bangu U20
3 : 0
Boavista U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ U20 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Fluminense U20 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Sampaio Correa FE U20 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Vasco U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
5 Botafogo RJ U20 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Portuguesa RJ U20 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
7 Nova Iguacu U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
8 Madureira U20 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
9 Volta Redonda U20 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
10 Bangu U20 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Marica U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
12 Boavista U20 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)