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Fluminense U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Eduardo Pape
90' Event
Felipe Morais

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U20 game between Fluminense U20 and Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fluminense U20
20%
Draws
40%
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20's 1.86 goals per match outpaces what Fluminense U20 have produced (1.58).
  • Fluminense U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.58 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Fluminense U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
0:2
Jul 9, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fluminense U20
3:0
Apr 3, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fluminense U20
3:1
Oct 9, 2023 Copa do Brasil U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fluminense U20
2:2
Oct 1, 2023 Copa do Brasil U20
Fluminense U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Pape
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Morais
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 65 / 100
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Fluminense U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Fluminense U20 scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
16 Sept
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
05 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 1
Fluminense U20
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2
Fluminense U20
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Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Athletic Club U20
0 : 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
12 Sept
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
2 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
09 Sept
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3 : 1
Guanabara City U20
05 Sept
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3 : 2
Boston City U20
29 Aug
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
7 : 0
Social U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 19 13 5 1 54:23 44
2 Vasco U20 19 11 3 5 36:19 36
3 Botafogo RJ U20 19 11 3 5 32:20 36
4 Bragantino U20 19 10 4 5 49:35 34
5 Athletico-PR U20 19 9 5 5 39:25 32
6 Santos U20 19 9 4 6 29:24 31
7 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 19 8 5 6 35:27 29
8 Corinthians U20 19 8 5 6 31:25 29
9 Bahia U20 19 8 5 6 32:30 29
10 Flamengo RJ U20 19 7 7 5 28:29 28
11 Sao Paulo U20 19 6 7 6 27:26 25
12 America MG U20 19 6 7 6 25:37 25
13 Cuiaba U20 19 6 3 10 19:27 21
14 Vitoria U20 19 5 5 9 20:31 20
15 Gremio U20 19 6 1 12 31:42 19
16 Fluminense U20 19 5 4 10 25:31 19
17 EC Juventude U20 19 5 3 11 20:39 18
18 Criciuma U20 19 5 2 12 24:40 17
19 Avai U20 19 3 7 9 24:43 16
20 Fortaleza U20 19 2 9 8 18:25 15
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs)