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Fluminense U20 vs Resende U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Mitson E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Resende U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fluminense U20
20%
Draws
28%
Resende U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Resende U20 haven't matched Fluminense U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fluminense U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Fluminense U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Resende U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Resende U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Resende U20
Matches Played 36 25
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Resende U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Resende U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Resende U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 67 / 100
Resende U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Resende U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Fluminense U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Fluminense U20 scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: Resende U20 conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
16 Sept
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
05 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 1
Fluminense U20
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2
Fluminense U20
15 Aug
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 8

Resende U20

(Away)
04 Apr
Resende U20
0 : 3
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Mar
Volta Redonda U20
3 : 3
Resende U20
25 Mar
Resende U20
3 : 0
Olaria U20
21 Mar
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Resende U20
18 Mar
Resende U20
1 : 0
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ U20 7 6 1 0 15:4 19
2 Vasco U20 7 5 2 0 21:6 17
3 Marica U20 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
4 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 12:12 9
5 America RJ U20 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
6 Artsul U20 7 2 1 4 9:16 7
7 Americano RJ U20 7 1 0 6 6:14 3
8 Bangu U20 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Resende U20 7 5 0 2 8:5 15
2 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 1 2 18:7 13
3 Fluminense U20 7 4 1 2 11:4 13
4 Nova Iguacu U20 7 3 2 2 7:4 11
5 Madureira U20 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
6 Volta Redonda U20 7 3 1 3 7:8 10
7 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 1 2 4 3:13 5
8 Sampaio Correa FE U20 7 0 1 6 5:18 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)