Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Wesley
72' Event
Vagno
77' Event
Samuel K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Fluminense U20 in this Carioca U20 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fluminense U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Fluminense U20
20%
Draws
19%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense U20 lately — more wins on the board than Sampaio Correa FE U20.
  • Fluminense U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fluminense U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Matches Played 38 28
Wins 19 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
5:1
Aug 2, 2025 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
2:2
Mar 23, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:3
Jun 8, 2024 Carioca U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Fluminense U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vagno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samuel K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 85 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa FE U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Fluminense U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fluminense U20 scored in 68% of their last 38 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Sampaio Correa FE U20
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
16 Sept
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
05 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 1
Fluminense U20
Page 1 of 8

Sampaio Correa FE U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
04 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ U20 9 8 0 1 25:8 24
2 Fluminense U20 9 7 2 0 23:7 23
3 Vasco U20 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
4 Sampaio Correa FE U20 9 4 2 3 12:17 14
5 Botafogo RJ U20 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
6 Bangu U20 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
7 Madureira U20 9 1 6 2 10:13 9
8 Marica U20 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
9 Boavista U20 10 2 2 6 12:21 8
10 Nova Iguacu U20 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)