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Fluminense U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
49' Event
86' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 2025 game between Fluminense U20 and Sampaio Correa FE U20 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Fluminense U20
15%
Draws
18%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Fluminense U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fluminense U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fluminense U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 20 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.76 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
5:1
Aug 2, 2025 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
2:2
Mar 23, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:3
Jun 8, 2024 Carioca U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Fluminense U20
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 95 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa FE U20 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Fluminense U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Fluminense U20's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Sampaio Correa FE U20
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
16 Sept
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
05 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 1
Fluminense U20
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
Page 1 of 8

Sampaio Correa FE U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
04 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco U20 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 11 8 1 2 27:9 25
3 Botafogo RJ U20 11 6 1 4 19:12 19
4 Fluminense U20 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
5 Volta Redonda U20 11 5 2 4 14:24 17
6 Bangu U20 11 4 3 4 10:14 15
7 Marica U20 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
8 Portuguesa RJ U20 11 4 1 6 12:10 13
9 Sampaio Correa FE U20 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
10 Madureira U20 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
11 Nova Iguacu U20 11 2 2 7 9:17 8
12 Boavista U20 11 1 2 8 10:20 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 2025 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)