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Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Savarino J.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Londono F.
28' Event
Pereira H.
Assist: Martinelli

AI Match Summary

Fluminense in this Copa Libertadores matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fluminense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fluminense
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense have won more games recently than Deportivo La Guaira.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 14
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira
3:1
Apr 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canobbio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Londono F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 95 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Deportivo La Guaira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Fluminense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Deportivo La Guaira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Deportivo La Guaira
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo RJ651014:216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:59
3Ind. Medellin62136:117
4Cusco60154:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo63128:610
2Deportes Tolima62227:68
3Club Nacional62227:98
4Universitario de Deportes61325:66
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia651015:616
2Fluminense62227:78
3Bolivar61236:85
4Deportivo La Guaira60336:133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica64118:413
2Cruzeiro63218:311
3Boca Juniors62136:57
4Barcelona SC61052:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians63218:411
2Platense63128:710
3Santa Fe62226:78
4Penarol60334:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno64116:213
2Palmeiras632110:511
3Sporting Cristal62046:96
4Junior61145:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU Quito64028:512
2Mirassol64027:412
3Lanus63033:79
4Always Ready61057:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle641111:613
2Rosario Central64119:113
3Universidad Central63037:119
4Libertad Asuncion60064:130