Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro

Fluminense

3 - 1

Deportivo La Guaira

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Savarino J.

(Penalty)

12'

Londono F.

28'

Pereira H.

Assist: Martinelli

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Fluminense

15%

Draws

26%

Deportivo La Guaira

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Fluminense have won more games recently than Deportivo La Guaira.
59% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense taking it.
Fluminense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Fluminense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%

Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%

Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fluminense	Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	9
Draws	12	12
Losses	6	9
Goals Scored	1.45	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira

3:1

Apr 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Canobbio A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Londono F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 86 / 100

Deportivo La Guaira 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fluminense Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fluminense scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Deportivo La Guaira conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fluminense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Deportivo La Guaira

1.75 Goals Scored 2

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)

20 Sept

Corinthians

1 : 3

Fluminense

15 Sept

Platense

2 : 1

Fluminense

12 Sept

Atletico-MG

3 : 1

Fluminense

08 Sept

Fluminense

2 : 0

Platense

06 Sept

Fluminense

1 : 0

Vasco

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Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)

20 Sept

Deportivo La Guaira

2 : 4

Dep. Tachira

15 Sept

Carabobo

1 : 0

Deportivo La Guaira

12 Sept

Deportivo La Guaira

0 : 2

Universidad Central

06 Sept

Deportivo La Guaira

2 : 0

Academia Anzoategui

03 Sept

Academia Puerto Cabello

1 : 1

Deportivo La Guaira

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