Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Guilherme Arana
Assist: Savarino J.
17'
Fernandez M.
33'
Bonifacio E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Fluminense
15%
Draws
42%
Ind. Rivadavia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ind. Rivadavia come out ahead of Fluminense on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense taking it.
  • Ind. Rivadavia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ind. Rivadavia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 20%
Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Ind. Rivadavia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Ind. Rivadavia vs Fluminense
1:2
Aug 11, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia
0:0
May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Ind. Rivadavia vs Fluminense
1:1
Apr 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Arana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ind. Rivadavia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arce A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 36 / 100
Ind. Rivadavia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Ind. Rivadavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ind. Rivadavia let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Fluminense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Ind. Rivadavia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3
Fluminense
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1
Fluminense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
Page 1 of 7

Ind. Rivadavia

(Away)
21 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
16 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
31 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia
3 : 1
Racing Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Ind. Medellin 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Universitario de Deportes 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Bolivar 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 3:7 9
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9:1 13
3 Universidad Central 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)