Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro

Fluminense

1 - 2

Ind. Rivadavia

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Guilherme Arana

Assist: Savarino J.

17'

Fernandez M.

33'

Bonifacio E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Fluminense

35%

Draws

46%

Ind. Rivadavia

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ind. Rivadavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ind. Rivadavia come out ahead of Fluminense on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Ind. Rivadavia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ind. Rivadavia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Fluminense Clean Sheet 20%

Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fluminense	Ind. Rivadavia
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	12	17
Draws	10	6
Losses	7	4
Goals Scored	1.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Ind. Rivadavia vs Fluminense

1:1

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Arana

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Ind. Rivadavia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Arce A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 32 / 100

Ind. Rivadavia 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fluminense Ind. Rivadavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ind. Rivadavia let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Fluminense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Ind. Rivadavia

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)

06 Aug

Fluminense

1 : 3

Vasco

01 Aug

Vasco

0 : 0

Fluminense

30 Jul

Fluminense

0 : 0

Bahia

26 Jul

Gremio

1 : 1

Fluminense

17 Jul

Fluminense

1 : 1

Bragantino

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Ind. Rivadavia

(Away)

03 Aug

Sarmiento Junin

2 : 1

Ind. Rivadavia

30 Jul

Ind. Rivadavia

2 : 1

Huracan

26 Jul

Atl. Tucuman

0 : 0

Ind. Rivadavia

12 Jul

Ind. Rivadavia

1 : 0

Tigre

28 May

Bolivar

1 : 3

Ind. Rivadavia

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