Sport Picks
Fluminense vs Palmeiras
Brazil
Serie A Betano Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro 
AI Match Summary
Fluminense host Palmeiras in the Serie A Betano. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Fluminense at 1.46 goals for, 1.18 against; Palmeiras at 1.79 for, 0.76 against. Past meetings favor Fluminense slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.44, favoring Palmeiras. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Palmeiras lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Palmeiras taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fluminense | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fluminense scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Palmeiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Fluminense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fluminense
(Home)Palmeiras
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 47 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 39 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 37 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 34 |
| 5 | Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 32 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 29 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 28 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | 26 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | 23 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | 22 |
| 17 | Gremio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 19 | Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | 10 |
