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Fluminense vs Santos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fluminense host Santos in the Serie A Betano. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Fluminense at 1.63 goals for, 1.13 against; Santos at 1.7 for, 1.15 against. Head-to-head, Fluminense have won 4 to Santos's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.44) point toward Santos. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fluminense
15%
Draws
45%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Santos have won more games recently than Fluminense.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense taking it.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fluminense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Santos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Santos
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 17
Draws 11 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Fluminense
2:3
Aug 31, 2025 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Fluminense
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Santos
1:0
Nov 29, 2023 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Fluminense
0:3
Jul 29, 2023 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Santos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 86 / 100
Santos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Fluminense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Santos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
09 Oct
Fluminense
4 : 0
Coritiba
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3
Fluminense
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1
Fluminense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
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Santos

(Away)
08 Oct
Santos
2 : 2
Flamengo RJ
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Santos
19 Sept
Remo
1 : 2
Santos
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 29 18 7 4 57:25 61
2 Palmeiras 29 17 9 3 48:21 60
3 Fluminense 29 14 9 6 48:36 51
4 Athletico-PR 29 14 8 7 45:34 50
5 Cruzeiro 29 14 6 9 44:40 48
6 Bahia 29 12 10 7 43:36 46
7 Atletico-MG 29 12 8 9 39:34 44
8 Santos 29 11 9 9 45:43 42
9 Coritiba 29 10 8 11 37:47 38
10 Bragantino 29 10 7 12 34:33 37
11 Sao Paulo 29 10 6 13 33:34 36
12 Vitoria 29 10 6 13 32:42 36
13 Botafogo RJ 29 9 8 12 42:47 35
14 Vasco 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
15 Mirassol 29 8 9 12 34:43 33
16 Corinthians 29 8 8 13 30:34 32
17 Internacional 29 7 10 12 32:37 31
18 Gremio 29 7 9 13 31:39 30
19 Remo 29 5 9 15 33:48 24
20 Chapecoense-SC 28 3 9 16 29:57 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)