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Fluminense W vs America Mineiro W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Luso Brasileiro, Rio de Janeiro
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Match Events

10' Event
Sochor
23' Event
Silva Amador L.
45' Event
Dani Ortolan

AI Match Summary

Fluminense W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fluminense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Fluminense W
15%
Draws
32%
America Mineiro W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense W lately — more wins on the board than America Mineiro W.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fluminense W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Fluminense W Clean Sheet 20%
America Mineiro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense W America Mineiro W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Fluminense W vs America Mineiro W
4:1
May 4, 2025 Brasileiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Fluminense W
3:1
Jun 17, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Fluminense W vs America Mineiro W
1:0
Apr 16, 2023 Brasileiro A2 Women
Fluminense W vs America Mineiro W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Amador L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sochor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

America Mineiro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dani Ortolan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense W 36 / 100
America Mineiro W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense W America Mineiro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America Mineiro W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fluminense W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

America Mineiro W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Fluminense W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense W VS America Mineiro W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense W

(Home)
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1
America Mineiro W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Fluminense W
2 : 1
Bragantino W
24 Jul
Internacional W
1 : 0
Fluminense W
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America Mineiro W

(Away)
03 Oct
Cruzeiro W
1 : 0
America Mineiro W
30 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 2
America Mineiro W
26 Sept
America Mineiro W
6 : 1
Venda Nova FC W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
05 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 6
America Mineiro W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)