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Fluminense W vs CEAC/Araruama W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fluminense W host CEAC/Araruama W in the Carioca Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Fluminense W at 1.63 goals for, 0.91 against; CEAC/Araruama W at 2 for, 1.8 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.51 vs 1.64, favoring Fluminense W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Fluminense W
15%
Draws
40%
CEAC/Araruama W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fluminense W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CEAC/Araruama W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Fluminense W Clean Sheet 13%
CEAC/Araruama W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense W CEAC/Araruama W
Matches Played 32 10
Wins 18 4
Draws 7 1
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense W 22 / 100
CEAC/Araruama W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense W CEAC/Araruama W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEAC/Araruama W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

CEAC/Araruama W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 10 outings.

Fluminense W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CEAC/Araruama W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense W VS CEAC/Araruama W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense W

(Home)
22 Oct
Fluminense W
1 : 3
CR Flamengo W
15 Oct
CR Flamengo W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1
America Mineiro W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
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CEAC/Araruama W

(Away)
21 Oct
Cabofriense W
1 : 5
CEAC/Araruama W
17 Oct
CEAC/Araruama W
3 : 0
Buzios W
14 Oct
Perolas Negras W
5 : 0
CEAC/Araruama W
10 Oct
CEAC/Araruama W
1 : 2
Heips W
26 Oct
Olaria W
0 : 5
CEAC/Araruama W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Botafogo RJ W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 CR Flamengo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fluminense W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 CEAC/Araruama W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Heips W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Carioca Women (Play Offs)