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Fluminense W vs Palmeiras W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Brasileiro Women Estadio Luso Brasileiro, Rio de Janeiro
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Match Events

12' Event
Cotrim
26' Event
Bia Zaneratto
(Penalty)
32'
Rhayanna

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Fluminense W and Palmeiras W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmeiras W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Fluminense W
30%
Draws
31%
Palmeiras W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fluminense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fluminense W haven't matched Palmeiras W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fluminense W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Palmeiras W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Fluminense W Clean Sheet 20%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense W Palmeiras W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Fluminense W vs Palmeiras W
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Fluminense W
4:2
May 20, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Fluminense W vs Palmeiras W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cotrim
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Taina Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense W 36 / 100
Palmeiras W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense W Palmeiras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fluminense W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fluminense W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Palmeiras W has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense W VS Palmeiras W
1.83 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
83% Over 1.5 38%
67% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense W

(Home)
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1
America Mineiro W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Fluminense W
2 : 1
Bragantino W
24 Jul
Internacional W
1 : 0
Fluminense W
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Palmeiras W

(Away)
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
01 Sept
Bahia W
1 : 1
Palmeiras W
26 Aug
Palmeiras W
4 : 1
Bragantino W
22 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 0
Palmeiras W
16 Aug
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
EC Juventude W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)