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Foggia vs Atalanta U23

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Berto G.
38'
Petermann D.
46'
Sub
Berto G. In: Navarro A.
Out: Berto G.

AI Match Summary

Atalanta U23 in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atalanta U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Foggia
15%
Draws
51%
Atalanta U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Foggia haven't matched Atalanta U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Foggia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Foggia Clean Sheet 20%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foggia Atalanta U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Atalanta U23
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Atalanta U23 vs Foggia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foggia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Panada S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foggia 36 / 100
Atalanta U23 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foggia Atalanta U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atalanta U23 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Foggia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Atalanta U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Foggia VS Atalanta U23
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Foggia

(Home)
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1
Salernitana
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1
Foggia
16 Aug
Foggia
1 : 2
Altamura
Page 1 of 6

Atalanta U23

(Away)
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Pescara
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Aug
Vado
2 : 0
Atalanta U23
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2
Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)