Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foggia vs Casarano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
D'Amico F.
45' Event
Versienti L.
63'
Sub
Liguori M. In: Valietti F.
Out: Liguori M.

AI Match Summary

Casarano in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casarano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Foggia
20%
Draws
64%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Casarano have won more games recently than Foggia.
  • Foggia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Foggia Clean Sheet 68%
Casarano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foggia Casarano
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.79 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Casarano
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Foggia
0:2
Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Foggia
1:0
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group H
Foggia vs Casarano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foggia Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Amico F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Versienti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cajazzo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foggia 59 / 100
Casarano 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foggia Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foggia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Foggia scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Casarano conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Casarano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Foggia VS Casarano
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Foggia

(Home)
16 Aug
Foggia
1 : 2
Altamura
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3
Salernitana
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
12 Apr
Foggia
1 : 1
Siracusa
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Foggia
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Casarano

(Away)
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1
Casarano
16 Aug
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0
Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3
Union Brescia
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)