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Foggia vs Cavese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Foggia host Cavese in the Serie C - Group C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Foggia at 0.79 goals for, 1.41 against; Cavese at 1.03 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Cavese slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.31) point toward Cavese. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Foggia
20%
Draws
40%
Cavese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cavese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Foggia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Foggia Clean Sheet 18%
Cavese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foggia Cavese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 12
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Foggia
0:0
Nov 17, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Cavese
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Cavese
0:1
Nov 4, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Foggia
2:1
Mar 14, 2021 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Cavese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foggia 41 / 100
Cavese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foggia Cavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foggia's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cavese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Foggia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Foggia VS Cavese
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Foggia

(Home)
11 Oct
Foggia
1 : 3
Potenza
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2
Foggia
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6

Cavese

(Away)
12 Oct
Barletta
1 : 1
Cavese
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 9 7 1 1 24:12 22
2 Bari 9 6 1 2 13:6 19
3 Sorrento 9 6 0 3 14:10 18
4 Catania 9 5 1 3 17:10 16
5 Casertana 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
6 Audace Cerignola 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 Inter U23 8 4 1 3 16:13 13
8 Scafatese 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
9 Salernitana 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Picerno 9 4 0 5 17:17 12
11 Cavese 9 3 3 3 15:15 12
12 Monopoli 9 3 3 3 7:7 12
13 Foggia 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
14 Casarano 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
15 A.C. Savoia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
16 Barletta 9 1 5 3 12:15 8
17 Altamura 9 2 2 5 4:13 8
18 Giugliano 9 2 1 6 12:22 7
19 Cosenza 9 1 2 6 7:19 5
20 Crotone 9 1 3 5 10:15 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)