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Foggia vs Potenza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Foggia host Potenza in the Serie C - Group C. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Foggia have averaged 0.79 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Potenza's 1.7 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Potenza slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.56) back Potenza to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Foggia
20%
Draws
47%
Potenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Potenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Potenza have won more games recently than Foggia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Foggia Clean Sheet 15%
Potenza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foggia Potenza
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.79 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Potenza
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Foggia
3:0
Feb 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Potenza
3:4
Oct 13, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Foggia
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Foggia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foggia 35 / 100
Potenza 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foggia Potenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Potenza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Foggia found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Potenza has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Foggia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Foggia VS Potenza
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Foggia

(Home)
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2
Foggia
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

Potenza

(Away)
04 Oct
Potenza
4 : 2
Picerno
27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4
Potenza
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)