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Stadium Background

Foggia vs Sorrento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Viscardi A.
23'
Di Pasquale D.
36'
Petito F.

AI Match Summary

Foggia in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foggia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Foggia
15%
Draws
48%
Sorrento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Sorrento have won more games recently than Foggia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Foggia Clean Sheet 18%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foggia Sorrento
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Sorrento
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Foggia
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Sorrento
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Sorrento
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Foggia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foggia Compare

Top Goalscorer Berra F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sorrento Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foggia 36 / 100
Sorrento 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foggia Sorrento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorrento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foggia found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Sorrento let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Foggia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Foggia VS Sorrento
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Foggia

(Home)
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2
Foggia
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
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Sorrento

(Away)
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)