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Foguetoes vs Academica Praia

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2018 game between Foguetoes and Academica Praia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Foguetoes
39%
Draws
31%
Academica Praia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Foguetoes haven't matched Academica Praia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Academica Praia have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Foguetoes Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Praia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foguetoes Academica Praia
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.4 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.40 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.80 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Praia vs Foguetoes
1:0
May 20, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Foguetoes vs Academica Praia
0:0
May 17, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Foguetoes vs Academica Praia
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foguetoes 31 / 100
Academica Praia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foguetoes Academica Praia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Foguetoes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Foguetoes scored in 38% of their last 13 outings.

Academica Praia has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Foguetoes VS Academica Praia
0.4 Goals Scored 0.75
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.38
40% Over 1.5 38%
20% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Academica Praia1
Foguetoes0
Palmeira1
Mindelense3
Final
Academica Praia2
Mindelense0