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Fola vs Rumelange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2023/2024 Stade John Grun, Mondorf-les-Bains
Sun, Jun 2, 2024
3 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Flick T.
Assist: Ekeberg O. F.
51' Event
Moukam H.
Assist: Lourenco K.
79' Event
Maison B.
Assist: Donval E.

AI Match Summary

Fola in this BGL Ligue 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Fola
15%
Draws
21%
Rumelange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rumelange at 2.07 per game, Fola at 1.22.
  • Win probability leans Fola's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Fola, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Fola here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fola Clean Sheet 11%
Rumelange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fola Rumelange
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 1 3
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.22 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.07 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Rumelange vs Fola
2:4
Jun 2, 2024 BGL Ligue
Fola vs Rumelange
3:2
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Fola vs Rumelange
3:0
Apr 14, 2019 BGL Ligue
Fola vs Rumelange
7:0
Oct 7, 2018 BGL Ligue
Rumelange vs Fola
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fola Compare

Top Goalscorer Flick T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Klein J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 1.03

Rumelange Compare

Top Goalscorer Moukam H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maison B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fola 83 / 100
Rumelange 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fola Rumelange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rumelange conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Rumelange's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fola VS Rumelange
2.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fola

(Home)
20 Sept
Lintgen
3 : 0
Fola
22 Apr
Fola
0 : 1
FC Rodange 91
04 Mar
Fola
3 : 1
Hostert
09 Nov
Rumelange
2 : 4
Fola
21 Sept
Jeunesse Biwer
1 : 4
Fola
Page 1 of 7

Rumelange

(Away)
20 Sept
Pratzerthal/Redange
1 : 9
Rumelange
16 Sept
UNA Strassen
2 : 0
Rumelange
13 Sept
Rumelange
0 : 6
Bissen
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Rumelange
2 : 5
Jeunesse Esch
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kaerjeng 1
Hostert 3
Fola 3
Rumelange 2