Sport Picks
Folgore Caratese vs Alcione Milano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A AlbinoLeffe, Zanica 
Match Events
32'
32'
Lopes E.
Assist: Rolfini A.
39'
39'
Samotti N.
44'
44'
Ciappellano D.
AI Match Summary
Alcione Milano in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcione Milano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
35%
29%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Folgore Caratese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Folgore Caratese lately — more wins on the board than Alcione Milano.
- Win probability leans Folgore Caratese's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Alcione Milano have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Alcione Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Alcione Milano
2:3
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Alcione Milano
0:2
Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Alcione Milano vs Folgore Caratese
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Mezsargs K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Alcione Milano Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopes E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pitou J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 59 / 100
Alcione Milano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Alcione Milano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Folgore Caratese's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Alcione Milano let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS Alcione Milano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 11 Oct
Trento
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
Page 1 of 3
Alcione Milano
(Away) 11 Oct
Lecco
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2 Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Lecco
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
30 Aug
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Arzignano | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | Desenzano Calvina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 8 | AlbinoLeffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5:6 | 11 |
| 12 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 16 | Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
