Sport Picks
Folgore Caratese vs Caldiero Terme - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Orfeini T.
19'
19'
Gjonaj E.
25'
25'
Capelli A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Folgore Caratese and Caldiero Terme finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore Caratese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caldiero Terme
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Caldiero Terme's 1.69 goals per match outpaces what Folgore Caratese have produced (1.55).
- Model gives Caldiero Terme a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 17%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Caldiero Terme |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Caldiero Terme
3:1
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Folgore Caratese
2:2
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Folgore Caratese
2:0
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Caldiero Terme
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Capelli A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gjonaj E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Caldiero Terme Compare
Top Goalscorer Orfeini T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 28 / 100
Caldiero Terme 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Caldiero Terme
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Attacking prowess: Folgore Caratese scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Caldiero Terme conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Folgore Caratese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS Caldiero Terme
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
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Caldiero Terme
(Away) 07 Oct
Este
0 : 2 Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2 Caldiero Terme
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
