Sport Picks
Folgore Caratese vs Ciserano-Bergamo Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Legramandi S.
55'
55'
Samotti N.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Folgore Caratese and Ciserano-Bergamo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ciserano-Bergamo come out ahead of Folgore Caratese on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 23%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Ciserano-Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Folgore Caratese
1:2
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Folgore Caratese
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0
Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Folgore Caratese
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Samotti N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Ciserano-Bergamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Legramandi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 37 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Ciserano-Bergamo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Folgore Caratese found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Ciserano-Bergamo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Folgore Caratese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS Ciserano-Bergamo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
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03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
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Ciserano-Bergamo
(Away) 04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0 Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
29 Mar
Sondrio
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
