Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023

Folgore Caratese

1 - 1

Seregno Calcio

Our Tip

Match Events

Hyka E.

(Penalty)

54'

Ortolini R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Folgore Caratese and Seregno Calcio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Folgore Caratese

11%

Draws

Seregno Calcio

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Folgore Caratese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Folgore Caratese come out ahead of Seregno Calcio on wins alone.
Model gives Folgore Caratese a 80% chance of winning this.
Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%

Seregno Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Folgore Caratese	Seregno Calcio
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	15	9
Draws	11	9
Losses	5	12
Goals Scored	1.88	0
Goals Conceded	0.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Serie D - Group B

Folgore Caratese vs Seregno Calcio

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Oct 22, 2022 Serie D - Group B

Seregno Calcio vs Folgore Caratese

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Apr 1, 2020 Serie D - Group B

Seregno Calcio vs Folgore Caratese

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Nov 13, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D

Folgore Caratese vs Seregno Calcio

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group B

Folgore Caratese vs Seregno Calcio

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Caratese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Seregno Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortolini R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore Caratese 86 / 100

Seregno Calcio 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Folgore Caratese Seregno Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Caratese's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Seregno Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Folgore Caratese VS -

1.88 Goals Scored 0

0.5 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lumezzane	34	24	5	5	67:20	77
2	Alcione Milano	34	21	8	5	67:31	71
3	USD Casatese	34	16	11	7	38:26	59
4	Arconatese	34	16	9	9	54:37	57
5	Desenzano Calvina	34	15	8	11	47:41	53
6	Franciacorta	34	13	11	10	44:43	50
7	Ponte San Pietro	34	11	16	7	47:38	49
8	Ciserano-Bergamo	34	14	6	14	42:40	48
9	Brusaporto	34	12	11	11	43:38	47
10	Varesina	34	13	7	14	47:50	46
11	Villa Valle	34	9	14	11	40:47	41
12	Real Calepina	34	7	18	9	30:33	39
13	Folgore Caratese	34	10	9	15	37:46	39
14	Seregno Calcio	34	10	11	13	42:56	38
15	Breno	34	10	7	17	35:50	37
16	Varese FC	34	8	9	17	30:46	33
17	Sona	34	6	9	19	28:56	27
18	Caronnese	34	2	9	23	24:64	15