Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Folgore Caratese vs Sona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bernacchi D.
18' Event
Gulinatti A.
54' Event
Barazzetta A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Folgore Caratese and Sona finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore Caratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Folgore Caratese
35%
Draws
40%
Sona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Folgore Caratese come out ahead of Sona on wins alone.
  • Model gives Folgore Caratese a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 20%
Sona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore Caratese Sona
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 15 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.51 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Sona
3:1
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Folgore Caratese
2:0
Feb 16, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Sona
4:1
Oct 10, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Folgore Caratese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernacchi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gulinatti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sona Compare

Top Goalscorer Petdji T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore Caratese 42 / 100
Sona 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore Caratese Sona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Caratese scored in 81% of their last 37 games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Sona has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Folgore Caratese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Folgore Caratese VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore Caratese

(Home)
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
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Sona

(Away)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)