Sport Picks
Folgore Caratese vs Sondrio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
16'
16'
Pino A.
Assist: Gjonaj E.
18'
18'
Gjonaj E.
Assist: Castellano F.
23'
23'
Tremolada L.
Assist: Gjonaj E.
AI Match Summary
Folgore Caratese in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore Caratese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sondrio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Folgore Caratese lately — more wins on the board than Sondrio.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Folgore Caratese have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 10%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Sondrio
5:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Folgore Caratese
0:3
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Sondrio
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Folgore Caratese
1:2
Mar 11, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Sondrio
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Gjonaj E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pino A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Sondrio Compare
Top Goalscorer Vasil M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 34 / 100
Sondrio 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Sondrio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sondrio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Folgore Caratese found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Sondrio has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS Sondrio
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
Page 1 of 3
Sondrio
(Away) 02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3 Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1 Sondrio
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3 Sondrio
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1 Sondrio
22 Mar
AC Milan U23
2 : 2 Sondrio
01 Mar
Chievo
1 : 0 Sondrio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
