Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026

Folgore Caratese

2 - 0

Treviso

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Forchignone M.

73'

Capelli A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Folgore Caratese and Treviso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore Caratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Folgore Caratese

35%

Draws

49%

Treviso

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Treviso come out ahead of Folgore Caratese on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 21%

Treviso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Folgore Caratese	Treviso
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	12
Draws	12	9
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	1.55	1.31
Goals Conceded	0.97	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Serie D - Group A

Folgore Caratese vs Treviso

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Forchignone M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Capelli A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Treviso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore Caratese 32 / 100

Treviso 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Folgore Caratese Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treviso Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Caratese's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Folgore Caratese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Treviso conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Folgore Caratese VS Treviso

0.88 Goals Scored 0.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore Caratese

(Home)

20 Sept

Folgore Caratese

1 : 1

Giana Erminio

17 Sept

Pergolettese

0 : 0

Folgore Caratese

13 Sept

Folgore Caratese

2 : 3

Alcione Milano

07 Sept

Pro Vercelli

1 : 0

Folgore Caratese

31 Aug

Novara

2 : 2

Folgore Caratese

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Treviso

(Away)

21 Sept

Treviso

0 : 0

Desenzano Calvina

17 Sept

Union Brescia

2 : 2

Treviso

13 Sept

Treviso

2 : 1

Pro Vercelli

07 Sept

Alcione Milano

1 : 1

Treviso

31 Aug

Treviso

1 : 0

Lecco

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