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Folgore Caratese vs Treviso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Folgore Caratese host Treviso in the Serie C - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Folgore Caratese at 1.45 goals for, 1.1 against; Treviso at 1.14 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Folgore Caratese slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.25, favoring Folgore Caratese. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Folgore Caratese
35%
Draws
35%
Treviso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Treviso come out ahead of Folgore Caratese on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Folgore Caratese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 19%
Treviso Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore Caratese Treviso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Treviso
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore Caratese 36 / 100
Treviso 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore Caratese Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Caratese found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Treviso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Folgore Caratese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Folgore Caratese VS Treviso
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore Caratese

(Home)
11 Oct
Trento
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6

Treviso

(Away)
11 Oct
Treviso
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Trento 9 4 5 0 12:5 17
6 Treviso 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 9 2 6 1 13:14 12
10 Lumezzane 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Lecco 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
14 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
15 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
16 Juventus U23 9 1 4 4 8:15 7
17 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
18 Folgore Caratese 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 9 0 5 4 8:12 5
20 Renate 9 0 4 5 8:14 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)