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Folgore vs AC Libertas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. AC Libertas have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Folgore have conceded 1.07 and scored 2.17. Head-to-head, Folgore have won 5 to AC Libertas's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (2.63 - 0.81) back Folgore to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Folgore
15%
Draws
27%
AC Libertas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Folgore have won more games recently than AC Libertas.
  • Folgore are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Folgore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Folgore, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Folgore have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Folgore Clean Sheet 20%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore AC Libertas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Coppa Titano
AC Libertas vs Folgore
0:2
Mar 1, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Folgore
2:4
Nov 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs AC Libertas
6:1
Apr 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs AC Libertas
3:0
Dec 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Folgore
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore 85 / 100
AC Libertas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore AC Libertas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

AC Libertas let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Folgore remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Folgore VS AC Libertas
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore

(Home)
09 Oct
SS Pennarossa
1 : 5
Folgore
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
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AC Libertas

(Away)
09 Oct
Cailungo
1 : 2
AC Libertas
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Penne 2
Juvenes/Dogana 1
Fiorentino 0
Tre Fiori 1
SP Domagnano 3
SC Faetano 1
San Giovanni 0
SP Cosmos 1
AC Libertas 0
Folgore 2
SS Pennarossa 3
Cailungo 0
SS Murata 0
Virtus 3
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -