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Folgore vs Cailungo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
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Match Events

4' Event
Tampellini E.
Assist: Malaponti F.

AI Match Summary

Folgore in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Folgore
15%
Draws
14%
Cailungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Cailungo haven't matched Folgore's recent run of results.
  • Folgore are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Folgore here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Folgore Clean Sheet 20%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore Cailungo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 2
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 23
Goals Scored 2.07 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Cailungo
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Folgore
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Cailungo
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Folgore
1:3
Sep 29, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Cailungo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Tampellini E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Cailungo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore 85 / 100
Cailungo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore Cailungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cailungo let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Folgore has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Folgore VS Cailungo
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore

(Home)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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Cailungo

(Away)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)