Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Folgore vs SS Murata

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Sartori F.
Own Goal
33' Event
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: Malaponti F.
45' Event
Uva L.
Assist: Maciel J.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between Folgore and SS Murata finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Folgore
15%
Draws
17%
SS Murata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Folgore come out ahead of SS Murata on wins alone.
  • Folgore are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Folgore here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Folgore Clean Sheet 68%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore SS Murata
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 3
Draws 9 2
Losses 4 24
Goals Scored 2.24 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SS Murata
5:0
Jan 31, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SS Murata
3:2
Sep 28, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Folgore
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Folgore
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SS Murata
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Rufer A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Nicolo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

SS Murata Compare

Top Goalscorer Uva L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore 95 / 100
SS Murata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore SS Murata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Folgore scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

SS Murata has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Folgore remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Folgore VS SS Murata
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore

(Home)
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
05 May
Folgore
1 : 3
SP Domagnano
02 May
SP Domagnano
0 : 1
Folgore
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SS Murata

(Away)
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
26 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
5 : 2
SS Murata
18 Apr
SS Murata
1 : 4
Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)