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Folkestone vs Farnborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Folkestone host Farnborough in the National League South. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Folkestone at 1.77 goals for, 1.47 against; Farnborough at 1.53 for, 1.63 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.50 - 1.25) back Folkestone to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Folkestone
30%
Draws
47%
Farnborough
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Farnborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Farnborough come out ahead of Folkestone on wins alone.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 19%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folkestone Farnborough
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folkestone 31 / 100
Farnborough 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folkestone Farnborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folkestone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folkestone found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Farnborough let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Farnborough's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Folkestone went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Folkestone VS Farnborough
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Folkestone

(Home)
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Folkestone
06 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 0
Folkestone
26 Sept
Salisbury
2 : 0
Folkestone
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2
Folkestone
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
Page 1 of 6

Farnborough

(Away)
10 Oct
Billericay
4 : 0
Farnborough
26 Sept
Walton & Hersham
2 : 2
Farnborough
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 11 7 1 3 20:12 22
2 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
3 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
4 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
5 Dagenham & Red. 11 6 2 3 10:7 20
6 Weston-super-Mare 11 5 3 3 19:11 18
7 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
8 Tonbridge 11 5 2 4 20:11 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
10 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
11 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
12 Ebbsfleet 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
13 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
14 Hemel Hempstead 11 3 5 3 10:10 14
15 Folkestone 11 3 4 4 16:13 13
16 Maidenhead 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
17 Horsham FC 10 2 5 3 10:12 11
18 Farnborough 10 3 2 5 8:17 11
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 AFC Totton 10 3 1 6 8:16 10
21 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 11 1 1 9 11:29 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)