Sport Picks
Follonica Gavorrano vs Grassina Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 
Match Events
25'
25'
Calosi G.
32'
32'
Marzierli E.
44'
44'
Tomassini S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 game between Follonica Gavorrano and Grassina finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grassina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
30%
9%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Follonica Gavorrano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Follonica Gavorrano a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 20%
Grassina Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Follonica Gavorrano | Grassina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Grassina
2:0
Jun 9, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Grassina
2:4
Feb 17, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:1
Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Grassina
2:0
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Follonica Gavorrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomassini S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carcani T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Grassina Compare
Top Goalscorer Bellini L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Calosi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Follonica Gavorrano 85 / 100
Grassina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Follonica Gavorrano Grassina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Follonica Gavorrano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Follonica Gavorrano scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Grassina let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Follonica Gavorrano remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Follonica Gavorrano VS Grassina
1.25 Goals Scored 0.43
1 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Follonica Gavorrano
(Home) 27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2 Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2 Tau
Page 1 of 4
Grassina
(Away) 27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Grassina
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3 Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1 Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1 Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Grassina
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1 Grassina
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0 Grassina
16 Jun
San Donato Tavarnelle
4 : 0 Grassina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevarchi | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68:32 | 71 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:33 | 56 |
| 4 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Siena | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:40 | 53 |
| 6 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:37 | 51 |
| 7 | Pianese | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 41:34 | 51 |
| 8 | Lornano Badesse | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 51:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Tiferno Lerchi | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Cannara | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:48 | 47 |
| 11 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 42:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Montespaccato | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 13 | Ostiamare | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 50:54 | 39 |
| 14 | Flaminia | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 44:57 | 39 |
| 15 | Foligno | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Grassina | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 32:52 | 30 |
| 18 | UC Sinalunghese | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 24:58 | 23 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
