Sport Picks
Follonica Gavorrano vs Prato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
62'
62'
Pino A.
63'
63'
Pucci L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E game between Follonica Gavorrano and Prato finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
35%
36%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Prato
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Follonica Gavorrano haven't matched Prato's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 24%
Prato Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Follonica Gavorrano | Prato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 21 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Prato
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Prato
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:0
Jan 16, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Prato vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:2
Feb 13, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Follonica Gavorrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Pino A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Prato Compare
Top Goalscorer Pucci L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Follonica Gavorrano 37 / 100
Prato 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Follonica Gavorrano Prato
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Prato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Follonica Gavorrano's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Follonica Gavorrano has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Prato let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.
Scoring Trends
Follonica Gavorrano VS Prato
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Follonica Gavorrano
(Home) 18 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1 Prato
11 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 7
18 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1 Prato
11 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
Page 1 of 4
Prato
(Away) 18 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1 Prato
11 Oct
Prato
2 : 0 San Donato Tavarnelle
07 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 3 Prato
03 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 Prato
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1 Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 7
18 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1 Prato
07 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 3 Prato
03 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 Prato
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1 Prato
13 Sept
Rondinella
1 : 3 Prato
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Follonica Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 5 | Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | SCD Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:17 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:16 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
