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Stadium Background

Follonica Gavorrano vs Scandicci

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Mutton C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Follonica Gavorrano and Scandicci finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Follonica Gavorrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Follonica Gavorrano
28%
Draws
22%
Scandicci
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Scandicci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Follonica Gavorrano a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Follonica Gavorrano Scandicci
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 14
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:3
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Scandicci
1:0
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:0
Dec 4, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Scandicci
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Follonica Gavorrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutton C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Scandicci Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Follonica Gavorrano 59 / 100
Scandicci 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Follonica Gavorrano Scandicci

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Follonica Gavorrano scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Scandicci conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Follonica Gavorrano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Follonica Gavorrano VS Scandicci
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622