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Follonica Gavorrano vs Terranuova Traiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
1 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
43' Event

AI Match Summary

Follonica Gavorrano host Terranuova Traiana in the Serie D - Group E. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Follonica Gavorrano have averaged 1.23 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Terranuova Traiana's 1.07 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Follonica Gavorrano have won 0 to Terranuova Traiana's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.19, favoring Terranuova Traiana. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Follonica Gavorrano
35%
Draws
20%
Terranuova Traiana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Terranuova Traiana come out ahead of Follonica Gavorrano on wins alone.
  • Model gives Follonica Gavorrano a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%
Terranuova Traiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Follonica Gavorrano Terranuova Traiana
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Terranuova Traiana
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Terranuova Traiana
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Terranuova Traiana
2:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs Follonica Gavorrano
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Follonica Gavorrano 86 / 100
Terranuova Traiana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Follonica Gavorrano Terranuova Traiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Follonica Gavorrano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Follonica Gavorrano scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Follonica Gavorrano remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Terranuova Traiana let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Follonica Gavorrano VS Terranuova Traiana
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Follonica Gavorrano

(Home)
04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1
Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2
Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 6

Terranuova Traiana

(Away)
07 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 3
Prato
03 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Prato
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0
Terranuova Traiana
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1
Flaminia
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Follonica Gavorrano 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Prato 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
3 Lucchese 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
4 Tau 6 4 0 2 10:12 12
5 Scandicci 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
6 Flaminia 6 3 2 1 9:9 11
7 Seravezza Pozzi 6 3 1 2 14:5 10
8 Siena 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
9 Ternana 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
10 Terranuova Traiana 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Montevarchi 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Mezzolara 6 1 4 1 4:6 7
14 Rondinella 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
15 Sasso Marconi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
16 SCD Progresso 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
17 Grassina 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
18 Ghiviborgo 6 0 1 5 3:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)