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Fontanafredda vs Calvi Noale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fontanafredda in this Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fontanafredda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fontanafredda
35%
Draws
32%
Calvi Noale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Calvi Noale have won more games recently than Fontanafredda.
  • Fontanafredda are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fontanafredda Clean Sheet 20%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fontanafredda Calvi Noale
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Fontanafredda vs Calvi Noale
3:2
Dec 20, 2015 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Fontanafredda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fontanafredda 42 / 100
Calvi Noale 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fontanafredda Calvi Noale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Fontanafredda found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Calvi Noale let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Fontanafredda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Calvi Noale
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fontanafredda

(Home)
22 May
Montebelluna
2 : 0
Fontanafredda
08 May
Fontanafredda
3 : 2
Calvi Noale
01 May
Tamai
3 : 3
Fontanafredda
24 Apr
Fontanafredda
0 : 0
Campodarsego
17 Apr
Abano
0 : 2
Fontanafredda
Page 1 of 6

Calvi Noale

(Away)
04 Oct
Virtus Bolzano
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 27 9 2 89:26 90
2 Campodarsego 38 22 13 3 56:31 79
3 Este 38 21 13 4 61:22 76
4 AC Belluno 38 18 13 7 52:38 67
5 Virtus Verona 38 17 12 9 64:37 63
6 Luparense FC 38 16 10 12 65:57 58
7 Tamai 38 13 14 11 45:43 53
8 Mestre 38 13 12 13 71:54 51
9 Abano 38 12 13 13 50:47 49
10 Levico Terme 38 12 12 14 53:53 48
11 USD Dro 38 13 9 16 35:53 48
12 Calvi Noale 38 11 15 12 40:43 48
13 Union Feltre 38 11 12 15 50:56 45
14 Fincantieri Monfalcone 38 12 7 19 47:57 43
15 Montebelluna 38 13 4 21 50:62 43
16 Triestina 38 9 12 17 40:57 39
17 Liventina 38 10 9 19 45:62 39
18 Fontanafredda 38 8 15 15 44:62 39
19 Giorgione 38 9 11 18 42:74 38
20 Sacilese 38 2 7 29 26:91 13
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 (Play Out)