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Fontanafredda vs Kras

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Serie D - Group C 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2014/2015 game between Fontanafredda and Kras finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fontanafredda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fontanafredda
30%
Draws
23%
Kras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fontanafredda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fontanafredda's 1.34 goals per match outpaces what Kras have produced (1.1).
  • Model gives Fontanafredda a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fontanafredda Clean Sheet 17%
Kras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fontanafredda Kras
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Serie D - Group C
Fontanafredda vs Kras
3:1
Nov 2, 2014 Serie D - Group C
Kras vs Fontanafredda
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fontanafredda 84 / 100
Kras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fontanafredda Kras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fontanafredda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kras has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Fontanafredda's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fontanafredda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fontanafredda VS Kras
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fontanafredda

(Home)
22 May
Montebelluna
2 : 0
Fontanafredda
08 May
Fontanafredda
3 : 2
Calvi Noale
01 May
Tamai
3 : 3
Fontanafredda
24 Apr
Fontanafredda
0 : 0
Campodarsego
17 Apr
Abano
0 : 2
Fontanafredda
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Kras

(Away)
11 Aug
Kras
0 : 2
Triestina
24 May
Giorgione
2 : 1
Kras
10 May
Clodiense
1 : 2
Kras
03 May
Kras
2 : 2
USD Dro
26 Apr
Padova
4 : 0
Kras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Padova 34 27 4 3 77:30 85
2 Altovicentino 34 21 7 6 63:34 70
3 Sacilese 34 18 8 8 62:31 62
4 AC Belluno 34 16 11 7 57:38 59
5 Arzignano 34 15 11 8 53:39 56
6 Union Pro 34 16 7 11 46:42 55
7 Clodiense 34 13 10 11 48:47 49
8 Montebelluna 34 12 11 11 45:49 47
9 Union Feltre 34 11 12 11 45:42 45
10 Fontanafredda 34 12 8 14 50:49 44
11 Legnago Salus 34 11 10 13 50:55 43
12 Tamai 34 9 14 11 45:38 41
13 Giorgione 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 USD Dro 34 7 14 13 37:50 35
15 Triestina 34 6 16 12 41:51 34
16 Kras 34 8 9 17 41:58 33
17 Mori 34 4 7 23 31:69 19
18 Mezzocorona 34 3 7 24 20:79 12
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2014/2015 (Play Out)