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Fonte Nova U20 vs Cruzeirao U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paraense U20 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense U20 2024 game between Fonte Nova U20 and Cruzeirao U20 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fonte Nova U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Fonte Nova U20
15%
Draws
64%
Cruzeirao U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruzeirao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fonte Nova U20 come out ahead of Cruzeirao U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fonte Nova U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Fonte Nova U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Cruzeirao U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fonte Nova U20 Cruzeirao U20
Matches Played 12 11
Wins 6 3
Draws 1 1
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.58 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 Paraense U20
Fonte Nova U20 vs Cruzeirao U20
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fonte Nova U20 66 / 100
Cruzeirao U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fonte Nova U20 Cruzeirao U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fonte Nova U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeirao U20 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 11 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Fonte Nova U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Cruzeirao U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fonte Nova U20 VS Cruzeirao U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fonte Nova U20

(Home)
20 Dec
Fonte Nova U20
0 : 2
Belenense U20
20 Dec
Fonte Nova U20
0 : 2
Belenense U20
14 Dec
Belenense U20
2 : 2
Fonte Nova U20
14 Dec
Belenense U20
6 : 0
Fonte Nova U20
03 Dec
Fonte Nova U20
1 : 2
Maracana Taua U20
Page 1 of 3

Cruzeirao U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Cruzeirao U20
0 : 5
Sport Belem U20
01 Sept
Desportiva Paraense U20
4 : 0
Cruzeirao U20
26 Aug
Cruzeirao U20
0 : 7
Belenense U20
21 Aug
Trabalhista U20
1 : 4
Cruzeirao U20
18 Aug
Cruzeirao U20
1 : 2
Craques do Futuro U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuna Luso U20 5 4 0 1 35:2 12
2 Maracana Taua U20 5 3 1 1 25:5 10
3 Belenense U20 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
4 Pinheirense U20 5 2 2 1 18:7 8
5 Comercial PA U20 5 1 0 4 4:29 3
6 Terra Alta U20 5 0 0 5 1:50 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA U20 5 4 1 0 23:3 13
2 Sport Belem U20 5 4 0 1 11:1 12
3 Venus U20 5 2 1 2 11:5 7
4 Uniao Barbarense U20 5 1 2 2 9:11 5
5 Boca Junior U20 5 1 2 2 5:9 5
6 Ponte Nova U20 5 0 0 5 3:33 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo U20 6 6 0 0 27:6 18
2 CRT-23 Benevides U20 6 5 0 1 21:5 15
3 Craques do Futuro U20 6 3 1 2 33:11 10
4 Atletico Barbarense U20 6 2 1 3 10:21 7
5 Atletico JM9 U20 6 1 1 4 8:24 4
6 Trabalhista U20 6 1 1 4 9:28 4
7 CA Vila Rica U20 6 1 0 5 12:25 3
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fonte Nova U20 6 6 0 0 16:4 18
2 Juventude Barcarenense U20 6 5 0 1 23:2 15
3 Bragantino PA U20 6 3 0 3 10:9 9
4 Estrela PA U20 6 2 1 3 9:17 7
5 Cruzeirao U20 6 2 1 3 7:16 7
6 Tiradentes PA U20 6 2 0 4 15:13 6
7 ESMAC U20 6 0 0 6 5:24 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castanhal U20 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
2 Real Naval U20 6 4 0 2 13:10 12
3 Meninos de Ouro U20 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
4 Castelo dos Sonhos U20 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia De Maraba U20 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 EC Tailandia U20 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
3 Tailandia AC U20 4 0 0 4 0:12 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)