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Fontenay vs Balma

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CFA - Group C 2008/2009
Fontenay Logo

Fontenay

2 - 1
FT
Balma Logo

Balma

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fontenay in this CFA - Group C 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fontenay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fontenay
15%
Draws
34%
Balma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fontenay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fontenay have won more games recently than Balma.
  • Model gives Fontenay a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fontenay Clean Sheet 13%
Balma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fontenay Balma
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.2 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Fontenay vs Balma
1:1
Oct 10, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Fontenay
2:0
May 16, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Fontenay vs Balma
2:1
Feb 28, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Fontenay
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fontenay 39 / 100
Balma 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fontenay Balma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fontenay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Balma conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Fontenay's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Difficult form: Balma registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fontenay VS Balma
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Fontenay

(Home)
20 Dec
Fontenay
0 : 4
PSG
29 Nov
Fontenay
4 : 1
Chateauroux
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
16 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 2
ESOF La Roche
07 Feb
Saumur Olympique
1 : 0
Fontenay
Page 1 of 7

Balma

(Away)
11 Aug
Balma
2 : 2
Bergerac
11 Nov
Balma
0 : 3
Les Herbiers
03 Dec
Balma
0 : 3
Bergerac
12 Nov
Balma
3 : 0
Luc Primaube
15 Nov
Genets
1 : 0
Balma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzenac 34 20 9 5 59:26 103
2 Moulins 34 18 8 8 56:41 96
3 Pau 34 17 9 8 42:25 94
4 Fontenay 34 16 9 9 37:32 91
5 Moulins-Yzeure 34 15 9 10 60:43 88
6 Bordeaux II 34 14 10 10 41:35 86
7 Le Mans II 34 12 12 10 35:33 82
8 Romorantin 34 13 10 11 49:49 82
9 Lucon 34 12 11 11 39:37 81
10 Aurillac 34 10 14 10 48:44 78
11 Colomiers 34 9 14 11 33:32 75
12 Montlucon 34 9 12 13 43:54 73
13 Balma 34 9 9 16 47:54 70
14 Albi 34 10 6 18 27:42 70
15 Genets 34 9 8 17 35:53 69
16 Chatellerault 34 7 13 14 50:66 68
17 Stade Bordelais 34 7 11 16 27:47 66
18 Bergerac 34 4 16 14 32:47 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)