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Foolad vs Aluminium Arak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Foolad Arena, Ahvaz
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Foolad host Aluminium Arak in the Persian Gulf Pro League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Foolad at 1.27 goals for, 0.62 against; Aluminium Arak at 0.77 for, 0.96 against. Head-to-head, Foolad have won 2 to Aluminium Arak's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Dec 5, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.88, favoring Foolad. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Foolad
35%
Draws
12%
Aluminium Arak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Foolad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Foolad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Foolad taking it.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Foolad Clean Sheet 68%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foolad Aluminium Arak
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 12
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.27 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Aluminium Arak
0:0
Mar 14, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Aluminium Arak
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Foolad
4:2
May 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Foolad
1:1
Nov 10, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Aluminium Arak
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foolad 86 / 100
Aluminium Arak 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foolad Aluminium Arak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foolad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foolad went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Foolad scored in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Aluminium Arak conceded in 65% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Foolad VS Aluminium Arak
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Foolad

(Home)
25 Oct
Persepolis
0 : 1
Foolad
18 Oct
Foolad
0 : 0
Mazandaran
13 Oct
Malavan
1 : 2
Foolad
08 Oct
Foolad
2 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

Aluminium Arak

(Away)
23 Oct
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Zob Ahan
17 Oct
Sanat Naft
2 : 1
Aluminium Arak
13 Oct
Fajr Sepasi
2 : 1
Aluminium Arak
08 Oct
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Malavan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persepolis 10 6 2 2 18:5 20
2 Sepahan 10 6 2 2 17:6 20
3 Tractor 9 6 2 1 12:2 20
4 Esteghlal TEH 10 5 5 0 12:3 20
5 Foolad 10 5 4 1 10:5 19
6 Aluminium Arak 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
7 Kheybar Khorramabad 10 3 5 2 13:11 14
8 Fajr Sepasi 10 3 5 2 10:12 14
9 Gol Gohar 10 4 1 5 10:9 13
10 Chadormalu 10 3 4 3 9:13 13
11 Mazandaran 10 2 5 3 7:9 11
12 Paykan 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
13 Malavan 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
14 Esteghlal Khuzestan 10 2 3 5 7:14 9
15 Zob Ahan 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 10 1 4 5 7:12 7
17 Sanat Naft 10 1 4 5 5:15 7
18 Mes Shahr Babak 10 0 5 5 6:19 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)