Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foolad vs Persepolis

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Foolad Arena, Ahvaz
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Alishah O. In: Mahmoudi A.
Out: Alishah O.
21' Event
Mahrooghi E.
Assist: Razzaghpour A.
40'
Ansari S.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 game between Foolad and Persepolis finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Foolad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Foolad
30%
Draws
39%
Persepolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persepolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Persepolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Persepolis a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Foolad Clean Sheet 28%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foolad Persepolis
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 12 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Persepolis
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Foolad
1:1
Jan 31, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Persepolis
1:1
Aug 30, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Foolad
2:0
Mar 8, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Foolad
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foolad Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahrooghi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmadzadeh F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Persepolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foolad 22 / 100
Persepolis 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foolad Persepolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persepolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Foolad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Foolad found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Persepolis conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Foolad VS Persepolis
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Foolad

(Home)
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0
Foolad
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
24 Aug
Sanat Naft
0 : 3
Foolad
19 Aug
Foolad
1 : 1
Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 6

Persepolis

(Away)
07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0
Zob Ahan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0
Persepolis
19 Aug
Persepolis
4 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)