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Foolad vs Shams Azar Qazvin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Foolad Arena, Ahvaz
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Jolani A.
Assist: Ansari S.
51'
Jelokhani Niaraki A.
54'
Sub
Karami A. In: Hosseini S. M.
Out: Karami A.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Foolad and Shams Azar Qazvin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Foolad
20%
Draws
23%
Shams Azar Qazvin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Foolad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Foolad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Foolad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Foolad Clean Sheet 20%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foolad Shams Azar Qazvin
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 11 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.19 0.65
Goals Conceded 0.65 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:1
Feb 27, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Foolad
0:2
Oct 24, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:0
Dec 13, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Foolad
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foolad Compare

Top Goalscorer Jolani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Shams Azar Qazvin Compare

Top Goalscorer Sourgi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foolad 58 / 100
Shams Azar Qazvin 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foolad Shams Azar Qazvin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foolad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foolad's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Foolad remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Shams Azar Qazvin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Foolad VS Shams Azar Qazvin
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Foolad

(Home)
08 Oct
Foolad
2 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0
Foolad
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
24 Aug
Sanat Naft
0 : 3
Foolad
Page 1 of 6

Shams Azar Qazvin

(Away)
10 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 3
Gol Gohar
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0
Tractor
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
9 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
10 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)