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Forde vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2017 game between Forde and Varegg finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Forde
6%
Draws
4%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Forde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Forde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Forde a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Forde Clean Sheet 17%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forde Varegg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Forde vs Varegg
3:1
Sep 15, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Forde
0:0
May 26, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Varegg
2:2
Oct 21, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Forde
4:2
Jul 9, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Varegg
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forde 84 / 100
Varegg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forde Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varegg conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Forde scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Forde has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Forde VS Varegg
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Forde

(Home)
27 Jun
Askoy
2 : 0
Forde
22 Jun
Forde
4 : 0
Asane 2
13 Jun
Forde
0 : 1
V. Haugesund
30 May
Fana
1 : 2
Forde
23 May
Forde
2 : 1
OS TF
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Varegg

(Away)
28 Jun
Varegg
1 : 1
V. Haugesund
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
13 Jun
Varegg
0 : 1
Gneist IL
30 May
Djerv 1919
3 : 2
Varegg
16 May
Varegg
0 : 2
Asane 2
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