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Forest Green W vs Coventry United W

England England

Women's National League South 2015/2016 The New Lawn
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forest Green W play Coventry United W in the Women's National League South 2015/2016. Coventry United W are favorites here. Recently, Forest Green W averaged 1.1 goals scored and 3.17 conceded. Coventry United W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. In past meetings, Forest Green W won 0, Coventry United W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 20, 2015 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Forest Green W and 3.44 for Coventry United W. This points to a Coventry United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Forest Green W
15%
Draws
64%
Coventry United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coventry United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Forest Green W picked up more points recently compared to Coventry United W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 3.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Forest Green W Clean Sheet 10%
Coventry United W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Green W Coventry United W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 2 1
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.17 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2015 Women's National League South
Coventry United W vs Forest Green W
4:0
Nov 8, 2015 Women's National League South
Forest Green W vs Coventry United W
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Green W 21 / 100
Coventry United W 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Green W Coventry United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coventry United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Coventry United W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Forest Green W attacking → ← attacking Coventry United W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forest Green W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Coventry United W let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Forest Green W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Coventry United W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 28
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
5.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brighton W22173258:1854
2Charlton W22164268:2052
3Gwalia United W22152566:2747
4Coventry United W22135464:1844
5Portsmouth W22142661:2744
6Tottenham W221111034:3034
7Lewes W22811330:4225
8Hashtag W22741138:5525
9Hounslow W22631325:4521
10West Ham W22541321:6019
11Forest Green W22221819:768
12Plymouth W22131823:896