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Forest Rangers vs Kabwe

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Obashi D.
90' Event
Mugalu C.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between Forest Rangers and Kabwe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Forest Rangers
35%
Draws
25%
Kabwe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forest Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kabwe come out ahead of Forest Rangers on wins alone.
  • Model gives Forest Rangers a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Forest Rangers Clean Sheet 68%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Rangers Kabwe
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 17
Draws 14 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Kabwe
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Kabwe vs Forest Rangers
2:2
Dec 30, 2023 Super League
Kabwe vs Forest Rangers
1:0
Aug 20, 2023 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Kabwe
1:0
Jan 14, 2023 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Kabwe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forest Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugalu C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Kabwe Compare

Top Goalscorer Obashi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Rangers 50 / 100
Kabwe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Rangers Kabwe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forest Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Forest Rangers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Forest Rangers found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Kabwe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kabwe
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Forest Rangers

(Home)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Forest Rangers
0 : 1
Red Arrows
19 Apr
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 1
Forest Rangers
09 Apr
Forest Rangers
0 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
02 Apr
Green Eagles
1 : 1
Forest Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Kabwe

(Away)
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Kabwe
1 : 0
NAPSA Stars
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
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