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Forfar Athletic vs Aberdeen B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Station Park, Forfar
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Masson C.
21' Event
Mouloua A.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Mouloua A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Forfar Athletic
15%
Draws
37%
Aberdeen B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forfar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Forfar Athletic have won more games recently than Aberdeen B.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Forfar Athletic taking it.
  • Forfar Athletic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aberdeen B, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 11%
Aberdeen B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forfar Athletic Aberdeen B
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Aberdeen B
0:3
Sep 23, 2025 Challenge Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Aberdeen B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forfar Athletic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Aberdeen B Compare

Top Goalscorer Masson C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forfar Athletic 40 / 100
Aberdeen B 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forfar Athletic Aberdeen B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen B has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Attacking prowess: Forfar Athletic scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Forfar Athletic has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Forfar Athletic VS Aberdeen B
0.88 Goals Scored 1.67
2 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Forfar Athletic

(Home)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
Page 1 of 6

Aberdeen B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
22 Sept
Banks O' Dee
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
08 Sept
Ross County
3 : 4
Aberdeen B
25 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 1
Aberdeen B
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3
Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)