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Forfar Athletic vs Formartine Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Station Park, Forfar
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rennie M.
Assist: Arnott A.
8' Event
Alston B.
Assist: Haddow A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Forfar Athletic
15%
Draws
51%
Formartine Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Formartine Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Formartine Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Formartine Utd taking it.
  • Formartine Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Forfar Athletic, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Forfar Athletic here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 16%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forfar Athletic Formartine Utd
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.04 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Challenge Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Formartine Utd
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Forfar Athletic vs Formartine Utd
2:1
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Forfar Athletic vs Formartine Utd
2:1
Oct 23, 2021 Scottish Cup
Formartine Utd vs Forfar Athletic
0:2
Aug 10, 2021 Challenge Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Formartine Utd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forfar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Rennie M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alston B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Formartine Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forfar Athletic 28 / 100
Formartine Utd 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forfar Athletic Formartine Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formartine Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forfar Athletic found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Formartine Utd has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Forfar Athletic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forfar Athletic VS Formartine Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Forfar Athletic

(Home)
13 Oct
Ross County
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2
Elgin City
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
Page 1 of 6

Formartine Utd

(Away)
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Inverurie Loco Works
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1
Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 6 5 1 0 17:4 16
2 Ross County 6 5 0 1 30:7 15
3 Airdrieonians 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
4 Cove Rangers 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
5 Peterhead 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
6 East Kilbride 6 4 1 1 19:13 13
7 St. Mirren B 6 4 0 2 19:8 12
8 Elgin City 6 4 0 2 14:3 12
9 Alloa 6 3 3 0 12:5 12
10 Hamilton 6 4 0 2 11:4 12
11 Montrose 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Celtic B 6 3 3 0 18:14 12
13 Queen of the South 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
14 Stirling 6 3 2 1 16:12 11
15 Aberdeen B 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
16 Bonnyrigg Rose 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
17 Edinburgh City 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
18 Berwick 6 3 1 2 11:15 10
19 Annan 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
20 Formartine Utd 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
21 Spartans 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
22 Kelty Hearts 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
23 Hearts B 6 3 0 3 17:29 9
24 Stranraer 6 2 1 3 16:15 7
25 East Fife 6 2 1 3 13:13 7
26 Forfar Athletic 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
27 Banks O' Dee 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
28 Dumbarton 6 2 1 3 10:19 7
29 Rangers B 6 2 0 4 11:11 6
30 Clyde 6 2 0 4 11:15 6
31 Kilmarnock B 6 1 2 3 11:16 5
32 Cumbernauld Colts 6 1 2 3 6:14 5
33 Clachnacuddin 6 1 1 4 11:17 4
34 Fraserburgh 6 1 1 4 7:21 4
35 Dundee FC B 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
36 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 6 0 2 4 3:17 2
38 Hibernian B 6 0 1 5 4:14 1
39 Cowdenbeath 6 0 0 6 6:15 0
40 Motherwell B 6 0 0 6 4:20 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)